Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 394.179402 446.814158 504.934190 574.052795 654.244229 744.627615 854.597736
2026-02-01 321.632084 392.488785 477.652362 588.309727 729.390050 904.708305 1141.350316
2026-02-08 276.359553 353.452735 451.298717 586.026675 768.957028 1011.915481 1364.467921
2026-02-15 242.591610 322.125914 427.591837 579.847474 797.627357 1103.483437 1575.611710
2026-02-22 220.043896 301.780498 414.359783 583.763942 837.523934 1212.244666 1824.229880
2026-03-01 198.080277 279.204370 394.613685 574.585991 855.225972 1288.339796 2032.182829
2026-03-08 181.317570 261.994621 380.194181 570.652323 878.897724 1374.669838 2267.683956
2026-03-15 162.915316 240.396804 356.787017 549.661483 872.004408 1409.446347 2419.053541
2026-03-22 156.218456 235.797631 358.620850 568.483011 931.838218 1562.371322 2804.112412
2026-03-29 151.057283 232.981738 362.742468 591.097282 1000.290459 1738.772155 3262.894163
2026-04-05 142.237765 223.454451 354.977975 592.397030 1030.720788 1849.440034 3610.832721
2026-04-12 131.938032 210.618508 340.523490 580.315035 1034.850514 1910.245421 3865.282656
2026-04-19 122.550417 198.782400 327.104834 569.357804 1040.991293 1978.138601 4153.236276
2026-04-26 118.147870 195.102291 327.490598 583.852780 1098.372166 2158.064534 4729.925330
2026-05-03 111.597035 187.125427 319.507481 581.539489 1121.517504 2269.112966 5166.576454
2026-05-10 105.115706 178.764280 310.100453 575.421167 1135.871971 2362.778373 5579.298841
2026-05-17 100.571150 173.537484 305.995330 579.302437 1171.713211 2509.562992 6159.800828
2026-05-24 94.741119 165.526427 296.008193 570.204923 1178.023972 2588.558989 6575.295158
2026-05-31 90.029081 159.267833 288.876203 566.305604 1195.435832 2696.568758 7096.332057
2026-06-07 83.725108 149.587711 274.391884 545.497559 1171.602061 2699.386993 7311.559367
2026-06-14 82.294915 149.141382 278.063874 564.155232 1242.670557 2953.724969 8350.234510
2026-06-21 81.291536 149.440078 283.223817 586.571579 1325.725909 3253.614338 9616.075692
2026-06-28 78.201709 145.400552 279.197267 587.859917 1356.529474 3417.033290 10474.839645